Current reading · updated weekly · analyst-signed
Crisis scale · 0–100
Intervention Risk
Where are we?
Intervention Risk
Stress is outrunning routine management — authorities are near extraordinary measures such as emergency liquidity or capital controls. Protect capital and reduce fragile exposures now.
4.6 pts to Declared Systemic CrisisCSI-C · Conservative73.3
CSI-S · Sensitive80.4
Consensus Gap+7.1
Evidence Confidence66 · high
Geopolitics & Geoeconomy
- Geostrategic Realignment
- Geoeconomic / Trade War
Conflict
- Kinetic Conflict & Militarization
- Proxy Frictions & Escalation
Economy & Markets
- Financial & Safe-Haven Stress
- Energy, Resources & Power Costs
Systemic & Resilience
- Tech, Cyber & Defense Disruption
- Domestic Instability of Major Powers
- Maritime Chokepoints & Supply Lines
- Food & Agricultural Insecurity
Ten indicators across geopolitics, conflict, economy and systemic resilience — each analyst-reviewed before it moves a score.
One weekly reading · analyst-signed · outlook with stated uncertaintyHow the index is built →